MALA ŠKOLA KULTURE I SUBKULTURE GOVORA

 

SVIJET IZMEĐU GLOBALIZACIJE I STRAHA Kako male evropske države mogu opstati u novom poretku

A WORLD BETWEEN GLOBALIZATION AND FEAR How small European states can survive in the new order

 

Esad Jaganjac, UK

Uvod  Globalizacija, liberalizam i rast krajnje desnice mijenjaju lice Evrope. Male države moraju pronaći ravnotežu između otvorenosti i zaštite svojih interesa ako žele očuvati suverenitet i prosperitet. Svijet danas živi u vremenu paradoksa: nikada nismo bili povezaniji, a nikada nismo bili nesigurniji. Globalizacija i liberalni poredak otvorili su nova pitanja o moći, identitetu,i pravednosti, eksploataciji, suverenitetu i sigurnosti. U tom složenom kontekstu, male i nezavisne države Evrope suočavaju se s jedinstvenim izazovom — kako opstati i napredovati među ekonomskim divovima, globalnim korporacijama i bankama, političkim blokovima i ideološkim sukobima koji oblikuju 21. stoljeće.  Globalizam – između prilike i zavisnosti  Globalizam je stvorio svijet u kojem roba, informacije i kapital putuju brže nego ikad. Male države od toga mogu imati koristi – kroz izvoz, investicije i modernizaciju. Ali globalizam nosi i cijenu: gubitak kontrole nad ekonomskim suverenitetom ali i potencijalnim gubitkom dijela prava običnih ljudi. Kada multinacionalne korporacije postanu jače od nacionalnih vlada, male ekonomije gube mogućnost da same određuju razvojne prioritete. Globalizam, dakle, nije ni prijetnja ni spasenje – on je alat koji može služiti interesima države samo ako postoji pametna i odgovorna politika sposobne da očuvaju suverenite države i prava svojih građana.  Liberalizam pod pritiskom  Liberalna demokratija, nekada simbol napretka i mira u Evropi, danas je suočena s krizom povjerenja. Dok su osnovne vrijednosti – sloboda, pluralizam i vladavina prava – ostale temelj savremenih društava, neoliberalni model tržišta bez granica produbio je nejednakosti i doveo do osjećaja socijalne nepravde. Srednja klasa slabi, mladi odlaze, a sve više građana osjeća da liberalni sistem ne štiti njihove interese. U tom vakumu nastaju populističke i ekstremne ideje koje koriste strah i nezadovoljstvo kao političko gorivo. Uspon suverenista i politika straha  Suverenisti više nisu marginalna pojava – postala je dio političkog mainstreama širom Evrope. Od Italije do Mađarske, suverenisti, koje smatraju desnim partijama upozoravaju na nesrazmjeran porast migracija, gubitka identiteta zbog globalizacije, čime grade politički kapital. Njihove poruke su jednostavne: “Zaštitimo naše granice”, “Vratimo našu moć”, “Evropa Evropljanima”. Iza tih slogana krije se opasnost od izolacionizma i autoritarizma. Male države, koje nemaju ni ekonomsku ni vojnu snagu velikih sila, posebno su ranjive na takve politike.  Model opstanka: pametna, konsenzualna i otporna država  Rješenje za male evropske države leži u kombinaciji participativne demokratije, ekonomske pameti i regionalne saradnje. Umjesto modela „snažnog vođe“, uspjeh se gradi kroz institucije, dijalog i konsenzus. Zemlje poput Švicarske, Finske ili Slovenije pokazuju da je moguće biti mali, ali stabilan. Ključ je u transparentnim institucijama, nezavisnom pravosuđu, obrazovanju i digitalizaciji. Ekonomska strategija mora biti orijentisana na inovacije, zelene tehnologije i energetsku samoodrživost – jer su to resursi budućnosti.  Zaključak: Suverenitet kroz saradnju  U svijetu koji se mijenja brže nego ikad, male države nemaju luksuz izolacije. Njihova snaga nije u oružju, već u mudrosti, diplomaciji i stabilnosti. Suverenitet danas ne znači zidove, nego sposobnost da se sarađuje bez gubitka identiteta. Ako pronađu ravnotežu između globalne povezanosti i nacionalne odgovornosti, male države mogu biti primjeri razuma, otpornosti i napretka u vremenu kada svijet ponovo uči lekcije o vrijednosti stabilnosti. Svijet danas prolazi kroz složene i dinamične promjene, obilježen globalizacijom i raznim izazovima koji proizlaze iz nje. Globalizacija je omogućila bržu povezanost među državama, kulturom, ekonomijom i tehnologijom, ali također izaziva strahove od gubitka identiteta, suvereniteta i ekonomskih resursa. U ovom kontekstu, male evropske države suočavaju se s izazovima u očuvanju svoje autonomije i identiteta.   Da bi opstale u novom globalnom poretku, male evropske države trebaju primijeniti nekoliko strategija: 1. Očuvanje nacionalnog identiteta: Fokusiranje na kulturne, jezične i povijesne osobitosti može pomoći u očuvanju identiteta unutar globaliziranog svijeta. 2. Regionalna suradnja: Jačanje suradnje unutar regije može donijeti stabilnost i omogućiti male države da zajedno pregovaraju i nastupaju na međunarodnoj sceni. 3. Inovacije i obrazovanje: Ulaganje u obrazovanje i inovacije može omogućiti malim državama konkurentnost kroz visoko kvalitetnu radnu snagu i tehnološki razvoj. 4. Diplomatske strategije: Aktivna vanjska politika i umrežavanje s drugim državama, uključujući veće države, mogu pomoći malim državama u jačanju svog položaja na globalnoj sceni. 5. Održivi razvoj: Fokusiranje na održivu ekonomiju može osigurati dugoročni ekonomski rast i zaštitu resursa. 6. Adaptacija na promjene: Male države trebaju biti fleksibilne i brze u prilagodbi na globalne promjene, bilo da je riječ o ekonomskim krizama, klimatskim promjenama ili tehnološkim revolucijama. U ovoj kompleksnoj stvarnosti, male evropske države imaju potencijal da igraju važnu ulogu, ne samo kao zaštitnici svojih interesa, već i kao aktivni učesnici u oblikovanju globalnog poretka koji treba biti pravedniji i održiviji.  Šta bi bila najbolja strategija za Bosnu i Hercegovinu  Bosna i Hercegovina (BiH) se suočava s brojnim izazovima, uključujući političku nestabilnost, ekonomsku nerazvijenost i etničke tenzije. Razvijanje strategije koja bi osigurala održiv razvoj i stabilnost zahtijeva sveobuhvatan pristup. Evo nekoliko ključnih strategija koje bi mogle pomoći: 1. Politička stabilnost: Osnaživanje institucionalnih okvira i promicanje dijaloga među političkim strankama može pomoći u smanjenju etničkih tenzija i poticanju zajedničkog rada na reformama koje će koristiti svim građanima. 2. Ekonomski razvoj: Fokusiranje na diversifikaciju ekonomije, poticanje malih i srednjih poduzeća (MSP) može unaprijediti ekonomske prilike. Programi obuke i obrazovanja mogu pomoći u razvoju vještina radne snage. 3. Jačanje pravne države: Osiguravanje nepristrasnog pravosudnog sistema i borba protiv korupcije su ključni za jačanje povjerenja građana u institucije. Transparentnost i odgovornost su neophodni za sprečavanje zloupotreba moći. 4. Obrazovanje i mladi: Ulaganje u obrazovni sistem i programe za mlade može pomoći u smanjenju emigracije i osigurati da mladi ljudi imaju prilike za osobni i profesionalni razvoj unutar zemlje. 5. Socijalna kohezija: Promicanje zajedničkih inicijativa koje uključuju građane svih etničkih grupa može pomoći u jačanju socijalne kohezije i zajedništva. Kulturne i društvene aktivnosti koje slave raznolikost mogu potaknuti međusobno razumijevanje. 6. Održivi razvoj i ekologija: Implementacija održivih ekoloških praksi i projekata može pomoći u očuvanju prirodnih resursa, što je ključno za buduće generacije. 7. Ljudska prava i evropski standardi: Poštivanje Evropske konvencije o ljudskim pravima, internacionalnih normi i unutarnjeg prava može djelovati kao motivator za reforme unutar zemlje. Usmjerenje na pozitivne industrijske standarde EU može pridonijeti modernizaciji društva i ekonomije. 8. Infrastrukturni razvoj: Unaprjeđenje infrastrukture, uključujući promet i komunikacije, može povećati dostupnost i poboljšati povezanost, što je ključno za ekonomski rast.   Provođenje ovih strategija zahtijeva angažman svih sektora društva, uključujući vlade, civilno društvo, privatni sektor i međunarodne partnere. Samo kroz zajednički rad i posvećenost reformama Bosna i Hercegovina može ostvariti stabilnu i prosperitetnu budućnost. Postoje praktični izazovi i evidentne devijacije na globalnom, regionalnom i unutarnjem planu.  Sve gore navedene analize i predložene strategije bi mogle biti osnova i dobra podloga da živimo u svijetu u kome države i vlast poštuju povelju Ujedinjenih nacija, internacionalne norme prava, vlastite ustave i moralne i etičke kodekse ponašanja. Da je tako BiH bi mogla odmah pristupiti uvodjenju idealnog sistema vlasti, koja je predložena u mojoj studiji: “Moja Republika”, baziranu na filozofiji Platona i Aristotela, kao i savremenih pozitivnih dostignuća demokratije. Nažalost svijet se uveliko promjenio.  Danas u svijetu nažalost imamo ratove u Palestini, Ukrajini i pojedine pobunjeničke sukobe lokalne gerile, etničke eskalacije, granične razmjerice i incidenti. Ratovi se vode radi osvajanja tuđih teritorija ali i stvarnja enormnih profita od strane globalnih bankara, globalnih investicionih fondova (BlackRock, Vanguard i td) i globalnih tehnofeudalista-proizvođaća oružja. Sirovine za to su im ljudski životi. Još od doba Rima tehnika pokretanja ratova je uvijek bila ista: “zavadi pa vladaj”. I svaki početak rata je pokretan na isti način stvarnjem incidenta, korištenjem “lažne zastave” (false flag). Vidimo da se uveliko krše Ženevska konvencija i Povelje Ujedinjenih nacija; čak se pokušavaju ukinuti zajedno sa Internacionalnim sudom pravde (ICJ). U sferi nauke i kulture Nobelova nagrada je postala u zadnje vrijeme priznanje za inspiratore i negatore genocida, bolesne ideje transhumanizma dobija na značaju a Eurosong je postao cirkus transvestitizma, te ponašanja i perfomansa koji sa umjetnošću nemaju nikakve veze. Prirodne nauke su dobile zamah u IT sektoru, ali u zoni fundamentalnih otkrića fizike nisu stigle dalje od Higg’s čestice, dok je ta nauka iz sfere egzaktne nauke prešla uveliko u statistiku vejrovatnoće. Svedoci smo pojava beskruploznosti i odsustva bilo kakvih moralnih načela i ematije na globalnom planu. Na primjeru rata u Ukrajini vidjeli smo da su Ukraina i Rusija bili na pragu postizanja dogovora ali je premijer Velike Britanije Boris Johnson nagovorio Zelenskog da od tog dogovora oudustane imajući u vidu inters Britanije i zapada da u tom vrtlogu rata postigne dogovor o finasiranju Ukrajine (rata) u zamjenu za preuzimanje kontrole and dijelom ukrainske ekonomije, što mu je i uspjelo.  Nova Američka administracija je otišla korak dalje uslovljavajući pomoć Ukrajini kontrolom udijela ukrajinskih minerala. Dakle država je uvućena u rat, mnogi životi su izgubljeni da bi neke zapadne države profitirale i ostvarile svoj interes. Ukrajina od toga nije ništa dobila osim porušenih gradova, gubitaka teritorije i izgubljenih života. Pouka za sve nas! I to nije kraj priče onih koji misle da mogu vladati svijetom. Novi potezi nove američke administracije nagovještavaju niz političkih i trgovinskih sporazuma sa Rusijom i Kinom, dok Evropu guraju u rat sa Rusijom, pošto su joj onemogućili korištenje ruskih energenata, što rušenjem Sjevernog toka, što sankcijama Rusiji. Pored toga Evropi je uvelko prekinuta trgovačka rutu kroz Crvenio more (Amerika je i ne koristi), bombardovanjem Jemena. Tako je i sama Evropa pristala da koristi skupe američke energente, povećala cijene uvezenih sirovina a time počela urušavati svoju ekonomiju. U takvoj situaciji Evropa ulaže novih osamsto milijardi eura u naoružanje, pokreće vojnu industriju i vojnu obuku, što znaći da će u skoroj budućnosti tražiti i od svojih postojećih i novih članica da rade isto. Ponašanje svjetskih centara moći prema civilima Gaze jasno nam pokazuje šta bi moglo da se desi i sa BIH ako se prepustimo stihiji i dozvolimo nekompetentnim političarima da nas vode. Zbog svega toga je sigurnost u BiH uveliko ugrožena, što nalaže potrebu da se pristupi izradi Programa strategije nacionalne sigurnosti države. Ulazak u Evropsku uniju i NATO nije zapravo više jaka garancija zbog toga što navedene devijantne pojave upravo dolaze iz tih sredina. Pored toga gubio bi se značajan dio suverenosti a ekonmski razvoj, trgovina energentima, sirovinama i gotovim proizvodima bi bio podvrgnut kontroli EU i NATO. Nedavno primljene države u EU imaju određene EU fondove koje koriste za razvoj infarstrukture i javne potrošnje ali u veoma maloj mjeri za razvoj ekonomije. Na primjer u susjednoj Hrvatskoj brodogradnja i mnoge industrijske grane su ugušene, ostao je samo turizam, koji će rasti do prve recesije. Otvorene granice i neoliberalna doktrina omogućile su kupovinu firmi i resursa države od strane stranih investitora a time i zanačajan odliv BDP-a kroz dividende, PDV, profite stranih banaka i finasiranje institucija EU i NATO. Na primjer u Mađarskoj je došlo do pojave euroskepticizma baš zbog situacije da je odliv sredstava prema EU i NATO počeo prevazilaziti doprinose iz EU fondova.  U odnosima sa susjedima BiH, plan realizacije politike “Srpskog sveta” kreiran u Srbiji je stvaran vid teritorijalnih pretenzija Srbije prema BiH. Republika Hrvatska nema službeno usvojen “nacionalni program” koji bi bio eksplicitno usmjeren protiv teritorijalnog integriteta Bosne i Hercegovine. Međutim, u političkim analizama i javnim raspravama (posebno u BiH i među međunarodnim promatračima) često se spominju određene politike i inicijative iz Hrvatske koje se percipiraju kao potencijalno štetne po suverenitet BiH (legitimno predstavljanje kao preduslov stvaranja “trećeg entiteta” a time i zajedničkog djelovanja sa Srbijom na destrukciji BiH države). Susjedi nemaju u vidu da u prirodi (i svijetu) prije ili kasnije dolazi do ravnteže, što znači da svijetom ne uprvljaju doktrine materijalizma i ideologije “krvi I tla”, već na kraju svako plati cijenu svojih zabluda. Nastavak udruženih zločinaćkih poduhvata prema BIH pokrenutih još tokom 1992, kao rezultat može imati stanje u kome će Srbija pored Kosova izgubiti i Vojvodinu a možda i Sanđak, a Hrvatska primorje ukoliko otvore pandorinu kutiju destrukcije BIH i mjenjanja granica. Kada jednom nasilje postane princip on postaje pravilo i bumerang i za one koji ga pokreću.  Zbog svega ovoga snage u BiH, lojalne svojoj državi bi morale stvoriti Program strategije nacionalne sigurnosti BiH i sukcesivno ga provoditi kao odgovor na opisane izazove. Program strategije nacionalne sigurnosti BiH bi trebao da sadrži sljedeće elemente: Vizija: Sigurna, suverena i funkcionalna država koja štiti teritorijalni integritet, garantuje ljudska prava, vladavinu prava i ekonomski prosperitet, te je otpornija na hibridne prijetnje i spoljne pritiske. Svrha dokumenta: identificirati i prioritetizirati prijetnje, uskladiti državne kapacitete i politike, i postaviti operativni okvir (akcioni plan, resurse, odgovornosti) za narednih sedam godina.  Strateški ciljevi: - Očuvanje teritorijalnog integriteta i državnog suvereniteta BiH. -Jačanje vladavine prava, nezavisnog pravosuđa i borba protiv korupcije i organizovanog kriminala. - Povećanje državne i društvene otpornosti na hibridne prijetnje (dezinformacije, sabotaža kritične infrastrukture, cyber napadi).  - Modernizacija obrambenih i sigurnosnih kapaciteta, veća ulaganja u OSBIH, posebno u sisteme protuvazdušne odbrane da bi se izbjegala situacija slična provođenoj u Gazi (nezaštičeno nebo). Obezbjediti vojnu obuku u BiH vojnog i policijskog kadra a treninge na vojnim materijalno tehničkim sredstvima obezbjediti kroz programe OSBIH u zemlji i inostranstvu, gdje je to potrebno. - Energetska, digitalna i ekonomska sigurnost — diverzifikacija i zaštita kritične infrastrukture. Onemogućavanje djelovanja multinacionalnih kompanija na preuzimanju prirodnih resursa BiH, štetnih investicija i kontrole nad infrastrukturom, poljoprivredom i ekonomijom. zabranom uvoza GMO sjemena, hrane i korištenja takvog sjemena u agrikulturi. - Socijalna kohezija, zaštita manjina i prevencija radikalizacije. - Onemogućavanje djelovanja velikodržavnih politika Srbije i Hrvatske snagom pravne države i sigurnosnih agencija. - Zaustaviti sve vještački fabrikovane diskusije i ideje oko status državne imovine. Ustav i Ustavni sud su jasno definisali da je država titular cjelokupne državne imovine a Vlada može samo odobravati korištenje te imovine javnom i privatnom sektoru u skladu sa Zakonm o državnoj imovini, koji treba biti donesen u Predstavničkom domu parlamenta BIH. -Onemogućiti implementacije raznih neokolonijalnih programa digitalnog novca, digitalnih identifikacija i izvlačenje velikog profita od strane stranih globalnih i komercijalnih banaka i stranih korporacija kroz štetne ugovore i koncesije. BIH nikada ne smije odustati od svoje monetrane suverenosti i treba imati zlatnu podlogu za svoju valutu (trend u Aziji i globalnom jugu). BiH Centralna banka više nebi mogla u tom slučaju samostalno voditi monetarnu politiku (npr. nebi mogla mijenjati tečaj, kamatne stope ili tiskati novac). Razlog za to je što euro, pa ni dolar nemaju podlogu u zlatu, štampaju se u enormnim količinam, što će neminovno izazvati veliku recesiju prije ili kasnije. - Sprijećiti bilo kakvo novo zaduživanje u stranim bankama i fondovima (MMF, IBRD, IDA, EBRD, EIB). Investicije obezbjediti predominantno kroz domaće razvojne banke i ulaganjem privatnih, domaćih investitora iz zemlje i dijaspore, buđeta države i nižih nivoa vlasti, a u manjem obimu kroz strane investicije. Strane investicije, kao vid partnerstva i kooperacije u cilju plasmana na treća tržišta mogu biti korisne, ali danas mnoge od tih investicija su sve više pojava neokolonijalizma i sve manje vid pravičnog partnerstva i kooperacije - Onemogućiti glasanje na izborima državljanima BiH, koji pored BiH pasoša posjeduju pasoše i susjednih država (sukob sigurnosnih interesa), zbog hibridnog rata koji vode države Srbija i Hrvtska protiv BIH. - Onemogućiti participaciju u izvršnoj, sudskoj i zakonodavnoj vlasti građanima BIH, koji sudjeluju na stranim ratištima ili se odazivaju na pozive za služenje vojnog roka u bilo kojoj državi svijeta, kao i građanima BiH koji su ujedno i dio državnih institucija ili nevladinih organizacija susjednih država. - Obezbjediti striktnu provjeru moralnog kredibiliteta, stručnosti i psihičke stabilnost svih kandidata za vršenje dužnosti u institucijama vlasti i javnom sektoru, kao uslov za imenovanja i zapošljavanja, koje treba provoditi isključivo kroz javne konkurse. - Omogućiti i poticati razvoj kulture svih etničkih zajednica u BiH do granica, koje mogu sami finansirati, uz poštivanje državnog suvereniteta. Na svim kulturnim manifastacijam etničkih zajednica iz BIH, uz sva obilježja tih zajednica treba da postoji i državno obilježje BIH. - Omogućiti slobodu vjeroispovjesti svim etničkim zajednicama u BiH sa razvojem njihovih vjerskih objekata do granica koje sami mogu finasirati. Sve masovne javne manifestacije vjerskih ili kulturnih etničkih zajednica iz BiH trebaju biti odobrene od strane sigurnosnih agencija sa sadržajima, koji ne smije vrijeđati ili širiti mržnju prema drugim vjerskim zajednicama, pripadnicima drugih etničkih grupa ili državi BIH. -Uvesti vize za sve građane susjednih država, kao i recipročno za sve građane onih država koje zahtjevaju vize od BiH građana. Spriječiti kretanje predstavnika vlasti susjednih država po teritoriji BiH ako predhodno nemaju odobrenu vizu i program posjete, kao i ideologa velikodržavnih projekata i pripadnika nevladinih organizacija sa istom ideologijom. - Uvesti u pravni sistem posebnu državnu agenciju za istragu i procesuiranje svih vidova korupcije i privrednog kriminala. - Dati prioritet u razvoju energetike, infrastructure i izgradnje BiH luke u Neumu ili Sutorini (povratiti teritoriju Sutorine arbitražom) i potrebne transportne infrastructure od BiH luke do unutrašnjpsti. - Osloboditi se od bilo kojih i bilo čijih politika ogranićenja uvoza potrebnih energenata i sirovina iz bilo kog dijela svijeta i lokalnih ucjena u transportu. - Podržati razvoj tradicionalnih vrijednosti porodice, efikasnog obrazovanja i spriječiti propagiranje u školama ideja transhumanizma i netradicionalnih ideja o seksualnoj raznolikosti, inkluziji i identitetu, ali i ne vršiti diskriminaciju kod takvih pojava. - Uvesti novi Ustav BiH, koji omogućava građansku državu sa jednakim pravima građana i ravnopravnim narodima, bez entiteta, decentraliziovanu sa maksimumom od 10 kantona, formiranim na ekonomskim i regionalnim principima a ne na ekskluzivno etničkim principima. Država treba da ima mogućnost da provodi zakone na cijeloj teritoriji i ima zakonodavnu, izvršnu i sudsku vlast a niži nivo vlasti (kantoni, gradovi i mjesne zajednice) samo izvršnu vlast. Entiteti i etnička diskriminacija uvedena Aneksom 4 DMS-a moraju biti abolirani shodno 5 presuda ECtHR i normi Bečke konvencije o medjudržavnim ugovorima (IUS COGENS). Norma IUS COGENS je prisilna (imperativna) norma međunarodnog prava, odnosno pravilo koje je obavezno za sve države i koje se ne može derogirati a primjeri su: Zabrana genocida, zabrana ropstva, zabrana mučenja, zabrana agresivnog rata i td., dakle svega onoga što je prthodilo u BiH nametanju DMS-a i oktroisanog ustava (Aneksa 4). Broj zaposlenih u administraciji države BiH na svim nivoima vlasti se procjenjuje na oko 77.000, dok kao usporedba cijeli London sa skoro deset miliona stnovnika ima oko 4300 zaposlenih u administraciji grada. S toga reformom državne organizacije treba drastično smanjiti ukupan broj zaposlenih u državnoj administraciji, kao i smanjenju kompletne tehničke opreme, objekata i službenih automobile. - Uvesti Teritorijalnu odbranu BiH na dobrovoljnoj bazi sa organizacionom strukturom koja obuhvata državu i sve niže nivoe izvršne vlasti. Obuka i vježbe bi trebalo biti jednom godišnje u trajanju od mjesec dana i svaki mjesec tokom jednog od vikenda. Pripadnici TO bi trebali biti svi građani sa isključivo BIH pasošem, oba spola, na dobrovoljnoj bazi, u dobi od 18 do 55 godina. Finasiranje TO treba obezbjediti kroz buđete države i lokalnih zajednica nižih nivoa izvršne vlasti. Oružje TO BIH bi trebalo biti osigurano, skladišteno i pod kontrolom izvršne vlasti na državnom nivou. -Po postizanju političke stabilnosti Vlada BIH treba pokrenuti projekte ekonomskog rasta dajući priotritet na energetiku (postoje resurse), metaloprerađivačku i elektronsku industriju (postoji iskustvo), informatiku, turizam i poljoprivredu uz jaku poršku obrazovnim institucijam u cilju razvoja domćih stručnjaka, eksperata i znanja. - Vanjska politika treba da bude slična politici koju je vodila SFRJ u doba Tita, politički neutralna, nesvrstana i otvorena prema svjetskim tržištima, bez bilo kakvih pristajanja na blokovske ucjene i protekcionizam. BiH kao država bi mogla biti svetionik evropske civilizacije, primjer moralnih načela, ljudskih prava i sloboda i prosperiteta, pod uslovom da se unutar BiH dogovorimo da odbacimo retrogradne etnonacionalističke politike i patronaštvo susjednih država i dijela internacionalne zajednice, koji nam ne misle dobro.   2. novembar 2025

Introduction  Globalization, liberalism, and the rise of the far right are changing the face of Europe. Small states must find a balance between openness and protecting their interests if they are to preserve their sovereignty and prosperity. The world today lives in a time of paradox: we have never been more connected, and never more insecure. Globalization and the liberal order have raised new questions about power, identity, and justice, exploitation, sovereignty, and security. In this complex context, the small and independent states of Europe face a unique challenge — how to survive and thrive among the economic giants, global corporations and banks, political blocs, and ideological conflicts that are shaping the 21st century. Globalization – between opportunity and dependence Globalization has created a world in which goods, information, and capital travel faster than ever. Small states can benefit from this — through exports, investment, and modernization. But globalization also carries a price: the loss of control over economic sovereignty, but also the potential loss of some of the rights of ordinary people. When multinational corporations become stronger than national governments, small economies lose the ability to determine their own development priorities. Globalism, therefore, is neither a threat nor a salvation – it is a tool that can serve the interests of the state only if there is a smart and responsible policy capable of preserving the sovereignty of states and the rights of their citizens. Liberalism under pressure Liberal democracy, once a symbol of progress and peace in Europe, is today facing a crisis of confidence. While the basic values ​​– freedom, pluralism and the rule of law – remain the foundation of modern societies, the neoliberal model of the borderless market has deepened inequalities and led to a sense of social injustice. The middle class is weakening, the young are leaving, and more and more citizens feel that the liberal system does not protect their interests. In this vacuum, populist and extremist ideas emerge that use fear and discontent as political fuel.  The rise of sovereignists and the politics of fear  Sovereignists are no longer a marginal phenomenon – they have become part of the political mainstream across Europe. From Italy to Hungary, sovereignists, who consider themselves right-wing parties, warn of the disproportionate increase in migration, the loss of identity due to globalization, and build political capital. Their messages are simple: “Protect our borders,” “Take back our power,” “Europe for Europeans.” Behind these slogans lies the danger of isolationism and authoritarianism. Small states, which lack the economic and military might of great powers, are particularly vulnerable to such policies. A model of survival: a smart, consensual and resilient state  The solution for small European states lies in a combination of participatory democracy, economic smarts and regional cooperation. Instead of the “strong leader” model, success is built through institutions, dialogue and consensus. Countries like Switzerland, Finland or Slovenia show that it is possible to be small but stable. The key is in transparent institutions, an independent judiciary, education and digitalization. The economic strategy must be oriented towards innovation, green technologies and energy self-sustainability – because these are the resources of the future. Conclusion: Sovereignty through cooperation In a world that is changing faster than ever, small states do not have the luxury of isolation. Their strength lies not in weapons, but in wisdom, diplomacy and stability. Sovereignty today does not mean walls, but the ability to cooperate without losing their identity. If they find a balance between global connectivity and national responsibility, small states can be examples of reason, resilience and progress at a time when the world is once again learning lessons about the value of stability. The world today is going through complex and dynamic changes, characterized by globalization and various challenges arising from it. Globalization has enabled faster connectivity between countries, culture, economy and technology, but it also raises fears of loss of identity, sovereignty and economic resources. In this context, small European states face challenges in preserving their autonomy and identity.   In order to survive in the new global order, small European states need to apply several strategies: 1. Preservation of national identity: Focusing on cultural, linguistic and historical particularities can help preserve identity within a globalized world. 2. Regional cooperation: Strengthening cooperation within the region can bring stability and enable small states to negotiate together and perform on the international stage. 3. Innovation and education: Investing in education and innovation can enable small countries to compete through high-quality labor and technological development. 4. Diplomatic strategies: An active foreign policy and networking with other states, including larger states, can help small states strengthen their position on the global stage. 5. Sustainable development: Focusing on a sustainable economy can ensure long-term economic growth and resource protection. 6. Adaptation to change: Small states need to be flexible and quick to adapt to global changes, whether economic crises, climate change or technological revolutions.  In this complex reality, small European states have the potential to play an important role, not only as protectors of their interests, but also as active participants in shaping a global order that should be more just and sustainable. What would be the best strategy for Bosnia and Herzegovina  Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) faces a number of challenges, including political instability, economic underdevelopment, and ethnic tensions. Developing a strategy that ensures sustainable development and stability requires a comprehensive approach. Here are some key strategies that could help: 1. Political stability: Strengthening institutional frameworks and promoting dialogue among political parties can help reduce ethnic tensions and encourage joint work on reforms that will benefit all citizens. 2. Economic development: Focusing on diversifying the economy, encouraging small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) can improve economic opportunities. Training and education programs can help develop the skills of the workforce. 3. Strengthening the rule of law: Ensuring an impartial judicial system and fighting corruption are key to strengthening citizens’ trust in institutions. Transparency and accountability are essential to preventing abuses of power. 4. Education and youth: Investing in the education system and youth programs can help reduce emigration and ensure that young people have opportunities for personal and professional development within the country. 5. Social cohesion: Promoting joint initiatives involving citizens of all ethnic groups can help strengthen social cohesion and togetherness. Cultural and social activities that celebrate diversity can foster mutual understanding. 6. Sustainable development and ecology: Implementation of sustainable environmental practices and projects can help preserve natural resources, which is crucial for future generations. 7. Human rights and European standards: Respect for the European Convention on Human Rights, international norms and domestic law can act as a motivator for reforms within the country. Focusing on positive EU industrial standards can contribute to the modernization of society and economy. 8. Infrastructural development: Improving infrastructure, including transport and communications, can increase accessibility and improve connectivity, which is key to economic growth.   The implementation of these strategies requires the engagement of all sectors of society, including governments, civil society, the private sector and international partners. Only through joint work and commitment to reforms can Bosnia and Herzegovina achieve a stable and prosperous future. There are practical challenges and evident deviations on the global, regional and domestic levels.  All of the above analyses and proposed strategies could be the basis and a good basis for living in a world in which states and governments respect the United Nations Charter, international norms of law, their own constitutions and moral and ethical codes of conduct. If that were the case, BiH could immediately begin to introduce the ideal system of government, which is proposed in my study: “My Republic”, based on the philosophy of Plato and Aristotle, as well as modern positive achievements of democracy. Unfortunately, the world has changed a lot.  Today, unfortunately, we have wars in Palestine, Ukraine, and some local guerrilla rebel conflicts, ethnic escalations, border disputes, and incidents in the world. Wars are fought to conquer other people's territories, but also to generate enormous profits by global bankers, global investment funds (BlackRock, Vanguard, etc.) and global technofeudalists-weapons manufacturers. The raw materials for this are human lives. Since the time of Rome, the technique of starting wars has always been the same: "divide and rule". And every start of a war is initiated in the same way by creating an incident, using a "false flag". We see that the Geneva Convention and the Charter of the United Nations are being widely violated; they are even trying to abolish them together with the International Court of Justice (ICJ). In the sphere of science and culture, the Nobel Prize has recently become a recognition for the inspirers and deniers of genocide, the sick ideas of transhumanism are gaining importance, and the Eurovision Song Contest has become a circus of transvestism, and behavior and performance that have nothing to do with art. Natural sciences gained momentum in the IT sector, but in the area of ​​fundamental discoveries in physics they did not get further than the Higgs particle, while this science from the sphere of exact science has largely moved into statistics of reliability. We are witnesses of the appearance of unscrupulousness and the absence of any moral principles and emotions on the global level. In the example of the war in Ukraine, we saw that Ukraine and Russia were on the verge of reaching an agreement, but the Prime Minister of Great Britain Boris Johnson persuaded Zelensky to abandon that agreement, taking into account the interests of Britain and the West to reach an agreement on financing Ukraine (the war) in exchange for taking control of part of the Ukrainian economy in that vortex of war, which he succeeded in doing.  The new American administration went a step further by conditioning aid to Ukraine on control of the share of Ukrainian minerals. So the country was dragged into the war, many lives were lost so that some Western countries could profit and achieve their interests. Ukraine did not gain anything from it except destroyed cities, loss of territory and lost lives. A lesson for all of us! And that is not the end of the story of those who think they can rule the world. The new moves of the new American administration indicate a series of political and trade agreements with Russia and China, while pushing Europe into war with Russia, after they have prevented it from using Russian energy sources, both by destroying the Nord Stream pipeline and by imposing sanctions on Russia. In addition, Europe has largely cut off its trade route through the Red Sea (America does not use it), by bombing Yemen. Thus, Europe itself has agreed to use expensive American energy sources, increased the prices of imported raw materials and thus began to collapse its economy. In such a situation, Europe is investing another eight hundred billion euros in armaments, launching a military industry and military training, which means that in the near future it will ask its existing and new members to do the same. The behavior of the world's power centers towards the civilians of Gaza clearly shows us what could happen to Bosnia and Herzegovina if we abandon ourselves to the elements and allow incompetent politicians to lead us.  Because of all this, security in BiH is greatly endangered, which necessitates the development of a National Security Strategy Program. Joining the European Union and NATO is no longer a strong guarantee because the aforementioned deviant phenomena come from these environments. In addition, a significant part of sovereignty would be lost, and economic development, trade in energy, raw materials and finished products would be subject to EU and NATO control. Recently admitted countries to the EU have certain EU funds that they use for the development of infrastructure and public spending, but to a very small extent for economic development. For example, in neighboring Croatia, shipbuilding and many industrial branches have been suppressed, only tourism remains, which will grow until the first recession. Open borders and the neoliberal doctrine have enabled the purchase of companies and state resources by foreign investors, and thus a significant outflow of GDP through dividends, VAT, profits of foreign banks and financing of EU and NATO institutions. For example, in Hungary, Euroscepticism has emerged precisely because the outflow of funds to the EU and NATO has begun to exceed contributions from EU funds.  In relations with the neighbors of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the implementation plan of the "Serbian World" policy created in Serbia is a real form of territorial claims of Serbia towards Bosnia and Herzegovina. The Republic of Croatia does not have an officially adopted "national program" that would be explicitly directed against the territorial integrity of Bosnia and Herzegovina. However, in political analyzes and public discussions (especially in BiH and among international observers), certain policies and initiatives from Croatia are often mentioned, which are perceived as potentially harmful to the sovereignty of BiH (legitimate representation as a precondition for the creation of a "third entity" and thus joint action with Serbia to destroy the BiH state). Neighbors do not take into account that nature (and the world) sooner or later comes to an equilibrium, which means that the world is not ruled by the doctrines of materialism and the ideology of "blood and soil", but in the end everyone pays the price of their delusions. The continuation of the joint criminal enterprises against Bosnia and Herzegovina initiated in 1992 may result in a situation in which Serbia, in addition to Kosovo, will lose Vojvodina and perhaps Sandjak, and Croatia the Littoral if they open the Pandora's box of destruction of Bosnia and Herzegovina and border changes. Once violence becomes a principle, it becomes a rule and a boomerang for those who initiate it.  Because of all this, the forces in Bosnia and Herzegovina, loyal to their state, should create a National Security Strategy Program for Bosnia and Herzegovina and successively implement it in response to the described challenges. The National Security Strategy Program for Bosnia and Herzegovina should contain the following elements: Vision: A secure, sovereign and functional state that protects territorial integrity, guarantees human rights, the rule of law and economic prosperity, and is more resistant to hybrid threats and external pressures. Purpose of the document: to identify and prioritize threats, harmonize state capacities and policies, and set an operational framework (action plan, resources, responsibilities) for the next seven years. Strategic objectives: - Preserving the territorial integrity and state sovereignty of BiH. - Strengthening the rule of law, independent judiciary and the fight against corruption and organized crime. - Increasing state and social resilience to hybrid threats (disinformation, sabotage of critical infrastructure, cyber attacks). - Modernizing defense and security capacities, greater investments in the AFBiH, especially in air defense systems in order to avoid a situation similar to that in Gaza (unprotected skies). Provide military training in BiH for military and police personnel, and provide training on military material and technical means through AFBiH programs in the country and abroad, where necessary. - Energy, digital and economic security — diversification and protection of critical infrastructure. Preventing the actions of multinational companies to take over BiH's natural resources, harmful investments and control over infrastructure, agriculture and the economy. by banning the import of GMO seeds, food and the use of such seeds in agriculture. - Social cohesion, protection of minorities and prevention of radicalization. - Preventing the implementation of the great state policies of Serbia and Croatia through the power of the rule of law and security agencies. - Stop all artificially fabricated discussions and ideas about the status of state property. The Constitution and the Constitutional Court have clearly defined that the state is the titular of all state property and the Government can only approve the use of that property by the public and private sectors in accordance with the Law on State Property, which should be adopted in the House of Representatives of the BiH Parliament. - Prevent the implementation of various neo-colonial programs of digital money, digital identification and the extraction of large profits by foreign global and commercial banks and foreign corporations through harmful contracts and concessions. BiH must never give up its monetary sovereignty and should have a gold base for its currency (a trend in Asia and the global south). In that case, the BiH Central Bank would no longer be able to independently conduct monetary policy (e.g., it would not be able to change the exchange rate, interest rates or print money). The reason for this is that the euro, and even the dollar, are not backed by gold, they are printed in enormous quantities, which will inevitably cause a major recession sooner or later. - Prevent any new borrowing in foreign banks and funds (IMF, IBRD, IDA, EBRD, EIB). Provide investments predominantly through domestic development banks and investments by private, domestic investors from the country and the diaspora, the state budget and lower levels of government, and to a lesser extent through foreign investments. Foreign investments, as a form of partnership and cooperation with the aim of placing on third markets, can be useful, but today many of these investments are increasingly a manifestation of neo-colonialism and less and less a form of fair partnership and cooperation - Prevent voting in elections for citizens of BiH who, in addition to BiH passports, also hold passports of neighboring countries (conflict of security interests), due to the hybrid war waged by the states of Serbia and Croatia against BiH. - Prevent participation in the executive, judicial and legislative branches of government for citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina who are participating in foreign battlefields or responding to calls for military service in any country in the world, as well as for citizens of Bosnia and Herzegovina who are also part of state institutions or non-governmental organizations of neighboring countries. - Ensure strict verification of moral credibility, expertise and psychological stability of all candidates for performing duties in government institutions and the public sector, as a condition for appointments and employment, which should be carried out exclusively through public competitions. - Enable and encourage the development of the culture of all ethnic communities in Bosnia and Herzegovina to the extent that they can finance themselves, while respecting state sovereignty. At all cultural manifestations of ethnic communities from Bosnia and Herzegovina, in addition to all the symbols of these communities, there should also be the state symbol of Bosnia and Herzegovina. - Enable freedom of religion for all ethnic communities in Bosnia and Herzegovina with the development of their religious facilities to the extent that they can finance themselves. All mass public manifestations of religious or cultural ethnic communities from BiH should be approved by security agencies with content that must not offend or spread hatred towards other religious communities, members of other ethnic groups or the state of BiH. - - Introduce visas for all citizens of neighboring countries, as well as reciprocally for all citizens of those countries that require visas from BiH citizens. Prevent the movement of representatives of the authorities of neighboring countries on the territory of BiH if they do not have a previously approved visa and visit program, as well as ideologists of large-scale state projects and members of non-governmental organizations with the same ideology. - Introduce into the legal system a special state agency for the investigation and prosecution of all forms of corruption and economic crime. - Give priority to the development of energy, infrastructure and the construction of the BiH port in Neum or Sutorina (return the territory of Sutorina through arbitration) and the necessary transport infrastructure from the BiH port to the interior.   Get rid of any and everyone's policies restricting the import of necessary energy sources and raw materials from any part of the world and local blackmail in transport. - Support the development of traditional family values, efficient education and prevent the propagation of transhumanism and non-traditional ideas about sexual diversity, inclusion and identity in schools, but also do not discriminate against such phenomena. - Introduce a new Constitution of BiH, which provides for a civil state with equal rights for citizens and equal peoples, without entities, decentralized with a maximum of 10 cantons, formed on economic and regional principles and not exclusively on ethnic principles. The state should have the ability to implement laws throughout its territory and have legislative, executive and judicial power, while lower levels of government (cantons, cities and local communities) only have executive power. Entities and ethnic discrimination introduced by Annex 4 of the DMS must be abolished in accordance with 5 ECtHR judgments and the norms of the Vienna Convention on Interstate Treaties (IUS COGENS). The IUS COGENS norm is a mandatory (imperative) norm of international law, i.e. a rule that is mandatory for all states and cannot be derogated from, and examples are: Prohibition of genocide, prohibition of slavery, prohibition of torture, prohibition of aggressive war, etc., i.e. everything that preceded the imposition of the DMS and the imposed constitution in BiH (Annex 4). The number of employees in the administration of the state of BiH at all levels of government is estimated at around 77,000, while for comparison, the whole of London with almost ten million inhabitants has around 4,300 employees in the city administration. Therefore, the reform of the state organization should drastically reduce the total number of employees in the state administration, as well as reduce the complete technical equipment, facilities and official cars. - Introduce the Territorial Defense of BiH on a voluntary basis with an organizational structure that includes the state and all lower levels of executive power. Training and exercises should be held once a year for a month and every month during one of the weekends. TO members should be all citizens with an exclusively BiH passport, both sexes, on a voluntary basis, aged 18 to 55. Financing of the TO should be provided through the budgets of the state and local communities of lower levels of executive power. The weapons of the TO of BiH should be secured, stored and under the control of the executive power at the state level. -After achieving political stability, the Government of BiH should launch economic growth projects, giving priority to energy (there are resources), metalworking and electronics industries (there is experience), IT, tourism and agriculture with strong support for educational institutions in order to develop domestic professionals, experts and knowledge. - Foreign policy should be similar to the policy pursued by the SFRY during the Tito era, politically neutral, non-aligned and open to world markets, without any acquiescence to bloc blackmail and protectionism. BiH as a state could be a beacon of European civilization, an example of moral principles, human rights and freedoms and prosperity, provided that we agree within BiH to reject retrograde ethno-nationalist policies and patronage of neighboring states and part of the international community, which do not mean us well.   November 2, 2025